HULTGREN LEAD GROWS AGAINST FOSTER IN CONGRESSIONAL RACE

The Tarrance Group is pleased to present the following findings to the Randy Hultgren for
Congress campaign. The Tarrance Group was commissioned to conduct a telephone survey of
N=400 registered “likely” voters throughout Illinois’ Fourteenth Congressional District. A
random sample of this type is likely to yield a margin of error of +4.9% in 95 out of 100 cases.
Responses to the survey were gathered October 3-4, 2010.
Republican challenger Randy Hultgren’s lead has grown to 6 points in his race againstincumbent Democrat Bill Foster. Since our previous survey in September, Hultgren hasincreased his lead on the ballot from 3 points to 6 points. Turnout modeling suggests that Hultgren would receive 50% of the vote if the election were held today – even with third party
candidate on the ballot.
Ballot for U.S. Congress


May Sept. Oct.
% % %
Randy Hultgren 45 42 44
Bill Foster 44 39 38
Doug Marks* -- 4 --
Daniel Kairis -- 2 4
Undecided 12 14 16

* Doug Marks failed to make the ballot.

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THE TARRANCE GROUP
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